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This Week with The Chicowitz:

Election Post-Mortem

[Last week: "Why We/They Hate Bush"?]

 HMC then Each week our Boomer-in-Charge, Hershel Chicowitz, has something to say about life, society, or what's going on... from the perspective of a baby boomer. This is a special edition, updated on November 7:  HMC now

WARNING: This essay is rated P - for Political content. Some material may be too intense for some readers. Discretion is advised. If you are not up for a serious discussion on the issues of the day, there are over 300 other pages at BBHQ with nothing but fun and nostalgia; please wander around elsewhere at BBHQ. Our recommended alternative essay this week is "Cell Phones & Other Crimes and Misdemeanors."

The offer is still open, and we've upped the ante..... Find a Bush Lie -- Collect $500!!

"The good news for the rest of you Democrats is that you do not need to follow your mis-leaders. If you see the light, then this is not a defeat for you. It is an opportunity, a chance for a new beginning, a victory."

Why Kerry Lost:

1981: Ronald Reagan gets shot, with several security guards surrounding him.
His response: "Honey, I forgot to duck."

2004: John Kerry runs into one of his security guards while skiing in Idaho.
His response: "I don't fall down. The sunofabich knocked me over."

In the long run, I don't think it is much more complicated than that.

But, in this post-mortem, I look at my Monday predictions, explain what happened, identify the winners and losers, and provide a roadmap for Democrats and those of you who feel like you lost. (Hint: you can look at it as a loss, or as an opportunity; it's up to you.)

The map is essentially exactly as it was in 2000. It is strange that the country is divided as it is, with a ring of blue around a huge mass of red. That deserves some serious thought and analysis.... but not today.

So.... I guess we resolved that "not really elected president" thing, huh?

I am so sick of hearing that crap. I am not a big fan of George Bush, but I am so sick and tired of those blind people who, for four years, spit and spread that garbage! On that aspect of the results, I take great pleasure in gloating.

This president is the first since 1988 to recieve a majority of the votes in a presidential election. (That's right. As a reminder to you Clinton fans, Bill Clinton did not receive the majority of the votes in either election! Yeah, I know; the facts are so annoying, aren't they?) George Bush received more votes than any other candidate in U.S. history. He gained (in percentage of the votes) against his opponent in 45 states -- even the states in which he lost.

OK, let's see how I did -- one by one, my predictions from Monday, and the results:

My first prediction is that I will live to regret this. But.... it's a tradition.

    Well, I have mixed feelings.... Still, I love traditions.
Betty Castor steps up to hold the Demo seat in Florida. (She told me so when we met at the Kerry rally on Sunday.)

    Well, shucks. Looks like she told me wrong. This race was a dirty mess; winner Martinez has a lot of mud on him, of his own making.
We will not know the Senate makeup on Wednesday, as the Republican Senate candidate in Louisiana will not receive the majority of the vote; that will force a runoff in December.

    Nope; this was close all night, but he did get 51%; done deal.
Toast to Coors in Colorado.

    Missed this one. I donno what happened.
Upset of the year: Daschle goes down in Dakota. This year the voters finally saw the real Tom Daschle, and the way he operates in Washington.... and they do not like what they saw.

    Hubba, hubba!! After having the wool pulled over their eyes for years, the people of South Dakota finally saw this despicable political hack for the dirt-bag he is. It is justice delayed... but it is justice!

Don't cry for Tom, South Dakota. This will leave the senator from South Dakota (who claimed Virginia as his legal residence) to join his wife as a wealthy, influential lobbyist in D.C. This will be a huge financial windfall courtesy of the voters of South Dakota. I am tempted to call this an example of trickle up economics.

Not that you care, but in a referendum in Florida, the ill-planned and non-financed bullet train will take a bullet in the back before first rail is laid. Bravo!

    Got this one. It took the Florida voters twice to get it right, but they shot this ugly pig. (Took them twice to get the vote for Bush right, too.)
Same sex marriage will fail in all eleven (?) states where it is on the ballot.

    Yep; it was 11.... and they all went down. There is a clear message there. Still, you wait... the courts will try to override the voice of the people.
Speaking of sex, Bill Clinton still makes the hearts of the touchy-feely crowd flutter (at least those he has not yet touched in an inappropriate way), but not of those who know him best. Despite the first black president's campaigning in Arkansas, the state will go to Bush.

    Ah, this was an easy one. Still.... I made my point.
The Nader factor will be negligible.

    Ralph Nader has.... how do they say it.... jumped the shark.
Senate remains +1 for the Republicans; Democrats do not take the House.

    I was too conservative on this one.... looks like it will be 3 or 4.
The lawyers will salivate, but their feeding frenzy will end early. The presidential race in no state will be close enough to warrant a national spitting contest. We'll know the winner by midnight Tuesday.

    OK, it was not midnight.... though actually, I did know the winner by midnight. Still, this will mean a lot of smarting lawyers out there. Watch out! Angry lawyers are a dangerous thing.
The initiative in Colorado to throw the electoral college system into chaos will fail.

    It did fail. This makes up for the Coors thing.
In a bizarre, ironic twist, George Bush wins the popular vote; John Kerry wins the electoral vote.

    I went out on a limb here. But that's the way I saw it on Sunday. I called most of the states right, but on Sunday I just did not see that Bush could win both Florida and Ohio. Anway, my prediction was as good as any out there.
The next president will appoint at least three Supreme Court justices. Can you say "Justice Hillary Clinton"? (That is an oxymoron, is it not?)

    OK, we dodged a huge bullet here... a HUGE one. Still, for The Hillary, the race for 2008 has already begun. She will have to get past John Edwards. But... she will steamroll him like a speedbump on the way down Pennsylvania Avenue.

Though I should also remind you of my predictions of last January, right before the New Hampshire primary:

My revised prediction for the Democratic ticket is John Kerry and John Edwards or maybe Senator Bill Nelson. No matter. The winner in November will be Bush/Cheney by a comfortable electoral margin but a closer popular vote. The Republicans will pick up two seats in the Senate and 10 in the House.

Not bad, huh?

By the Numbers

A few observations on the numbers from Tuesday: All those new voters that the Democrats picked up, including Mary Poppins and Mickey Mouse? Apparently a lot of them were having too much fun to get out and vote.    

It looks like the president snagged a few voters from most areas where he lagged in 2000: blacks, Jews, women.... Say what you want about Karl Rove; but he got the job done, despite the 15% (according to Newsweek's Evan Thomas) that the media added to the Democrat side. Still, the GOP has a lot of work to do to show to minorities that their ideas benefit everyone.... which, of course, they do.

Besides the presidency, Republicans picked up seats in the Senate and the House. Republicans dominated throughout the country.

Winners:

John Kerry made this election a referendum on George Bush. Clearly, this was a huge victory for the president and his team. You cannot spin it any other way. (Mind you... and since you asked, I have considerable disagreements with this president's policies and frankly, I firmly believe he ran a miserable campaign. But... that's a story for another day.)

It also provides some vindication for the president's father, who failed to win re-election in 1992.

Vietnam veterans and people who do and have served in the military. John Kerry's refusal to apologize for the damage he did in 1971 was a huge slap in the face to all those who serve for our country. A victory for a man who aided and abetted the enemy would have been a blow to the gut of the bold and the bravest of us.

The Republican Party: Republicans now have a firm grip on the presidency, the Senate, and the House. They hold the majority of the state houses and the state legislatures. Hate them all you want, but the majority of the voters saw through the lies and the phoniness; the rest of you did not.

The citizens of Iraq, Afghanistan, and those struggling for freedom throughout the world.

Israel, too, dodged a bullet. As Charles Krauthammer pointed out recently, -- http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A53015-2004Oct21.html -- in order to implement his foreign policy, President Kerry would have had to make a bold gesture to pass the "global test." Undue and unwise pressure on Israel would have had to be at the top of his agenda. Those of us who support Israel should be profoundly grateful for a Bush victory.

The Hillary: this opens the door for her in 2008. All she has to do is win re-election in 2006, and the nomination is hers. I'll bet she has "Hail to the Chief" as an MP3 on her computer.

Losers:

Terrorists all over the world. Osama bin Laden showed his weakness when the best he could do to intimidate U.S. voters was to drop a video in a mailbox in Pakistan -- a far cry from when he could strike at will in the 90s. Osama bin Laden and al Qaeda, while not a nuisance, are serioulsly crippled. This election sealed their fate.

John Kerry, of course. His life's ambition, grabbed from him by someone about whom he said, "I can't believe I'm losing to this idiot," and a bunch of "dumb" voters in Ohio. Oh, the humanity! Also, the long-time pols who glided on the stained coattails of Bill Clinton, and failed in 2000, 2002, and now, 2004. Among them are James Carville, John Podesta, Robert Shrum, Joe Lockhart, Mary Beth Cahill, Mike McCurry, Richard Holbrooke, Donna Brazile, and, let us not forget, Sandy Berger, who, if there is any justice, will go to jail for trying to hide the failures of the Clinton administration stored in the National Archives.

As I pointed out on Monday, those who really hate George Bush, and those whose careers and prominence were cut to shreds by this election: Ted Kennedy, DNC Chairman Terry -- "Jeb in '02, George in '04" -- McAuliffe, Max Cleland, Jimmy Carter, and of course, Tom Daschle.

The Hollywood crowd: Only Larry Flint said he might move out of the country if Bush won. I'd be pleased to help him pack. But this is a big loss for Michael Moore, Whoppi, Cher, Bruce Springsteen, Neil Diamond, Al Franken, Barbra Streisand, Rosie O'Donnell, Bon Jovi, Peter, Paul & Mary, Jimmy Buffett, Linda Ronstadt, Paul Newman... and on and on. Of course, they will see this as more evidence of how stupid the people who pay them millions of dollars are, and how much more mentally superior they are. Fine. They are beyond reach. I have no words and no use for them.

George Soros, who spent up to $100 million and vowed he would do anything to defeat George Bush. Oh, he is not out of money. But this is a huge blow to his ego and his prestige. Serves him right; he is a snake in the grass; a big snake, but a snake, nonetheless.

Moveon.org, the vile web site, funded by George Soros, that ran a video comparing President Bush to Hitler. Moveon.org endorsed 27 left-wing candidates. Of those, five won. Oh yeah, there's a star to hitch your wagon to!

The mainstream media, including the European press. Though mostly self-inflicted, the wounds suffered by the media in this election season are permanent. As Peggy Noonan wrote, they came after the president, "with the most relentlessly partisan performance by elite cultural institutions that we've ever witnessed. Hollywood, CBS, and the New York Times threw everything they had at Mr. Bush, and the country rejected their values and agenda, not his." Their domination over public opinion is gone, never to return. CBS, ABC, the NY Times, The LA Times, Paul Krugman, Maureen Dowd, Molly Ivans... they have.... jumped the shark. It's over.

That's the cover of the London Daily Mirror over there. Oh yeah; I want to make kissy-face with them!

   

Retired general and retired presidential candidate Wesley Clark. What a buffoon!

And finally, the tea-leaf Democrats. Kerry supporters were beside themselves with elation on Sunday evening when the Washington Redskins lost. According to tea-leaf tradition, that meant that the incumbent would lose, too. Happens all the time. It's a done deal. That settles it. -- It's a total detachment from reality, folks, but typical of the tea-leaf Democrats.

So, What's Next for Them?

Over the last decade, the Democratic party has fallen from the very top to the bottom, in terms of power and influence -- from absolute majority, when Bill Clinton took office, to a crippled minority. The message to them is loud and clear. They, their policies and their tactics no longer work. This year they used all their tools at full strength: class envy, hate, scare tactics, lies, and of course, the race card. They outspent the Republicans, and the media went all out for them. And none of it worked.

Part of their problem has been has been the continual denial of the facts. They made up things, lied, and denied the reality around them. And so did some of you. We received dozens of messages containing absolute nonsense -- feelings, backed up with no substance whatsoever. Many visitors told us that Bush was going to lose. They were emphatic; it was a done deal. They were positive! So, naturally, when it turned out different, the explanation must be that Republicans stole the election, or that they cheated, or they disenfranchised voters. Oh yes, and "Halliburton, Halliburton, Halliburton!!!"

A Kerry supporter from Georgia was so distraught that he committed suicide after the election. Jeffim Kuznetsov, a 25-year-old student from Russia who lives in Atlanta, said the suicide is evidence of how deeply many Americans were affected by Kerry's defeat. "It's a national tragedy," he said. "This election is devastating to all who believe in democracy."

"Devastating to all who believe in democracy"? Devastating to those who believe in democracy???

"My only consolation is that someday this planet will be a dead cinder in the universe and all the stupidity, greed, and intolerance and their sad, sad consequences will be lost to all memory." -- Kerry supporter Penny Greenberg, quoted in the San Francisco Chronicle.

If they had any integrity and any common sense, the Democratic party would see that the solution is to change their philosophy, change their message, change their leadership, and change their tactics. That, however, would require more sacrifice than I suspect they are willing to endure. Having taken talking points from people like Michael Moore and George Soros, and with one of their party leaders claiming that George Bush "betrayed the country. He played on our fears!" (Al Gore), I fear that they will choose to be even more vitriolic, even nastier the next time around.

As I wrote last week, like a three year-old, they threw a huge hissy-fit this season. They need to grow up and face reality.

The Good News for the Other Democrats

The good news for the rest of you Democrats is that you do not need to follow them any longer. If you see the light -- if you see that hate is not the proper foundation for political beliefs; if you see that class envy is destructive; if you see that a list of complaints is not a political agenda... then perhaps you can see that tax cuts benefit everyone; then perhaps you can see that your success or failure is your responsibility, not the responsibiity of the government; then perhaps you can see that government is not the solution to all (or even most) social problems; then you can see that there is nothing more important than the defense of our country, and that our country is under attack; then you can see that sound, moral character is essential, even when you disagree with the details beneath it.

And if you can, then this is not a defeat for you. It is an opportunity, a chance for a new beginning, a victory.

Welcome aboard!

"It's the chance of a lifetime,
in a lifetime of chances.
And it's high time you joined in the dance.
It's high time you joined in the dance."

        - Dan Fogelberg, "Run for the Roses"

This is a profound result, with serious consequences. It is a great day for freedom, honesty, and justice.

 

Personal Stories of the Chicowitz:

Exploring My Roots: A Chicowitz History

A Trip to the Dentist

The Chicowitz Gets Dumped - Again!

Just Shoot Me!

He Sleeps with the Fishes

My Little Girl, Princess

Why am I Still Single?

The Plastic Surgery Saga

Our House is a Very, Very, Very Fine House... Not!

Middle Age and the Mazdamobile

Down for the Count

That Dirty Dancing

Me and You and a Dog Named Princess

Contemplations on the Hereafter

A Camping We Will Go

Travels with Princess - Part 1

Tool Time with the Chicowitz

The Chicowitz Goes Country

... and 120 other boomer stories




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We love hearing from our readers. This is our favorite so far, from Willie, who demonstrated his..... vocabulary:

You are an ignorant troglodyte. You are completely impervious to the facts. This is worse than Mr Limbaugh, your pill popping friend. When Bush drafts you, you will not be so jocund.


Election 2004 Essays:

    JF Kerry: Just the facts   
    Discussing the Issues   
    The Election 2004 Quiz   
    Find a Bush Lie -- Collect $500   
    Talking Dirty in Washington   
    I Believe - The George W. Bush Edition   
    Inside John Kerry   
    Why Character Matters - Part Umpteen   
    The Shadow IRS   
    Reporting for Duty   
    Is it Safe Yet?   
    Why They Hate Bush   
    Ronald Reagan: Hard-Wired Decency   
    What I Am   


Click here for great pictures, posters & autographs    
So, what do you think? Aren't you glad it is over?

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Hershel will have something else to say on November 8: mark your calendar to remind you to come back to BBHQ every Monday.

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Did you miss last week's essay, "Why We/They Hate Bush"? You can still read it here.

The Boomer Essays - On Being a Boomer:

Personal Stories of the Chicowitz:
    Exploring My Roots: A Chicowitz History
    A Trip to the Dentist
    The Chicowitz Gets Dumped - Again!
    Just Shoot Me!
    He Sleeps with the Fishes
    My Little Girl, Princess
    Why am I Still Single?
    The Plastic Surgery Saga
    Our House is a Very, Very, Very Fine House... Not!
    Our House - Part 2
    Our House - Part 3: Reclaiming the Past
    Middle Age and the Mazdamobile
    Down for the Count
    That Dirty Dancing
    Contemplations on the Hereafter
    Tool Time with the Chicowitz
    The Chicowitz Goes Country
    Born to be Screwed
    Mr. Brownthumb
    The Mixer - A Singles Story
    Crab Cakes

Midlife Crisis:
    The Defining Moment
    The Saga Continues
    Fighting Back
    The Straight Scoop

In December, Traditions of Christmas:
    1997: The Christmas Tree
    1998: Remembrance.... and Friends
    1999: Christmas Cards
    2001: Songs & Stories
    2002: The Gift of Giving
    2003: Decorating the Tree
    2004: The Christmas Pin
    2005: The Making of the Christmas Card
    2006: Christmas on a Toothpick
    2007: The Paper Route Years
    Merry Christmas, Y'all
    Hershel's Wish List: 2004
    The "A" List

Teach, Preach & Nag:
    Courage and Class: Tony Snow
    The New American Dream
    A Grateful Heart
    Things We'll Learn
    The Death of a Friend
    The Age of Non-Responsibility
    "Thank You": Another Dying Phrase
    The Saturday Night Live "Curse"
    The Boomers, the Xers and Beyond
    Rules, Boundaries and Consequences
    It's for the Children
    "American Beauty" - an American Nightmare
    Of Values and Legacies
    School Violence: Lessons from the Past
    The Boomer Lyrics are with Us Everywhere
    Everybody's Got a Story
    Power to the Boomers
    My Kingdom for a Plain Burger
    Perception is Reality?
    Oh Woe is Us!
    It's Soooooo Hard
    Take Care of Yourself
    Public Service
    The Universal Apology
    The Leader of the Band

Travels with Princess:
    A Camping We Will Go
    A Camping We Did Go
    Travels with Princess - Part 1
    Travels with Princess - Part 2
    Me and You and a Dog Named Princess
    Savannah: Midnight in the Garden
    Time to Think
    On Top of Old Smoky
    The Fall Leaves and Such

A View from Hurricane Alley:
    The Big Scare
    Before the Storm
    After the Storm
Katrina:
    Intemperate Thoughts
    Information Misload
    Wet Dream

Election 2004:
    JF Kerry: Just the Facts
    A Discussion of the Issues
    The Election 2004 Quiz
    Find a Bush Lie -- Collect $5,000
    Talking Dirty in Washington
    I Believe - The George W. Bush Edition
    Inside John Kerry
    Why Character Matters - Part Umpteen
    Reporting for Duty
    Is it Safe Yet?
    Why We/They Hate Bush
    Ronald Reagan: Hard-Wired Decency
    What I Am
    Nov. 8: Post-Mortem

Election 2006:
    I Believe -- the Election 2006 Edition
    A Civil Debate

A Boomer Remembers...:
    The 60s: Life was Sweeter
    The New American Dream
    Another Side of the Greatest Generation
    Where has all the Music Gone?
    Memories of the Sock Hop
    Remembering the Chairman of the Board
    Restless in Seattle
    The New Math
    We Are Not One Boomer
    "And Here's to You, Joe DiMaggio"
    The Days of Summers Past
    The Seeds of Character
    A Letter to a Teacher
    I Want a Clark Bar!
    When Music was Fun
    Decoration Day - The Measure of Sacrifice
    11/22/63: We Remember
    Flashback: The Y2K Hysteria
    When the Music had Words
    Ronald Reagan: Hard-Wired Decency
    The Great Carsoni
    Love Songs of the Chicowitz
    Do You Remember These?
    V-A-C-A-T-I-O-N -- We're on Vacation!
    A Watergate Success Story

Straight Talk on Social Issues:
    Money 101: Incentive
    Health Care: Solutions
    Dr. Jack - A Man for Our Times
    Misplaced Outrage: The Imus Affair
    Global Warming Warning
    Sin Offsets
    Immigration: Good Fences
    July, 2006: The Price of Freedom
    Oh, Woe is Babs!
    "Fair and Balanced"?
    Lower Education
    Boomer Retirement: "Hell No, We Won't Go!"
    Social Security for Dummies
    Feelings over Facts
    Talking Down the Economy
    The Little Red Hen
    The Singles' Journal: Marriage
    The Shadow IRS
    The Dumbing Down of America
    The Next, Great Entitlement
    Voting Our way to Fairness
    Straight Talk on Energy
    We are Losing the Culture War
    A Taxpayers' Bill of Rights
    The Greedy Hand Extends its Reach
    My Kingdom for a Candidate
    Another Hat in the Toilet
    We Have Met the Enemy
    I'm From the Government & I'm Here to Help You
    B. Clinton: The Case Against the President
    B. Clinton: The Case For the President
    Charlton Heston: The Culture War
    Head Start: The Difference between Red and Blue
    Labor Day - The Entrepreneur
    It's Lonely at the Top
    Kids on Drugs
    Roe v. Wade Reality
    Stem Cell 101
    Vietnam: From a Distance
    Iraq: Another Vietnam - ?

Mostly, Just Silly Stuff:
    Sin Offsets
    Menopause: Just for Laughs
    The Fat Tax
    Cell Phones & Other Crimes & Misdemeanors
    Like Father, Like Son
    Where Have You Gone, Walter Cronkite?
    A Dire Warning to all Boomers
    An Aging Boomer's Final Call to Action
    BoomerSpeak
    "American Pie": a Fresh Interpretation
    Hail to Thee, My Alma Mater
    Rock On!
    The BBHQ Exam Story
    Great Quotations
    The $2.5 Million Pyramid
    I Double-Dare You!

The Terrorist Attack of 2001:
    The Best of Times
    Showing Your Patriotism
    "All We are Saaaaaaaa-ying..."
    2004: Is it Safe Yet?

The Chicowitz on Iraq:
    Politics for Dummies - Part I
    Peace in Our Time
    Yankee Go Home!
    Bullhorn Responsibility
    Blood for Oil!
    Why We Fight
    They Said - Part 1
    They Said - Part 2
    Why They're Wrong

** There's even more: The BBHQ Archives **

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The BBHQ Album of the Month is "Old Friends Live on Stage (Deluxe Edition) (2 CD/1 DVD)," by Simon & Garfunkel. If you were fortunate enough to see them in concert last year, I do not have to sell you. The concert was terrific! This album collection includes 55 songs, plus their new recording, "Citizen of the Planet," and one of the songs sung by the Everly Brothers during the concert. The DVD was recorded during their concert in Madison Square Garden in 2003. For any S&G fan, this is a must have! But then, you knew that already, didn't you?  Old Friends Live on Stage (Deluxe Edition) (2 CD/1 DVD)

The BBHQ Book of the Month is "Vinyl Highway," by Dee Dee Phelps. You remember her as Dee Dee, of Dick and Dee Dee. Together, they took a decade long ride on the rock and roll roller coaster. It was a heck of a ride! Dick Clark, Quincy Jones, the Beach Boys, Glenn Campbell, Dionne Warwick, Bobby Vinton... Dick and Dee Dee rubbed shoulders with all of them. This is her "behind the scenes" story. It's pretty cool.

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11/08/04