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This Week with The Chicowitz
A Boomer Looks at 1999

Each week our Boomer-In-Charge, Hershel Chicowitz, has something to say about life, society, or what's going on... from the perspective of a baby boomer. This is what's on his mind the week of January 4:

Do you suppose that, as we get older, we become more philosophical and ponderous about the arrival of a new year, rather than joyous and excited, as we did in our youth? I mean, when you are 15, you shoot off fireworks to celebrate the new year; when you are 55, you wonder how much your IRA will increase in the 12 months. If so, I am still a kid: I shot off fireworks last Thursday at midnight. Big, loud ones.

But I am not above doing my Jean Dixon impersonation. Jean Dixon has moved on to greener pastures; or, as Rush puts it, she has "assumed room temperature." No, that is not the behavior I intend to impersonate. Stand back: I'm going to make some predictions for 1999.

First, some easily measurable, sports prognostications. The Tampa Bay Devil Rays will win more games this year than they won last year; a pretty safe bet, since they barely got out of single digits in 1998. Moving up the ladder, as I gaze into the crystal ball I do not see the Tampa Bay Bucs winning the Superbowl this year. Another fairly safe call, since they were eliminated from contention two weeks ago. Instead, I think it will be the Vikings and the Broncos. I'd like to say that the NFL's premier boomer quarterback, Atlanta's 38 year-old Steve DeBerg, will lead his young team to the world's championship. But I think that ship has sailed. The Broncos will win it all. And as I predicted since the day it went away, the instant replay will be back. Meanwhile, the NBA season is over; and nobody will care. It will take the NBA five years to build back the support of the fans. Serves them all right. I got along just fine without Dennis Rodman, thank you. (Carmen Electra could learn a thing or two from me.)

Last summer I predicted that "Saving Private Ryan" would win big at the Oscars. Nothing has changed since then. Nothing else matters. My high school classmate, Lauren Schuler Donner, produced "You've Got Mail." It's a delightful movie, but probably not a big Oscar contender.

Of course, last summer I predicted that we would have a very mild hurricane season. And it was, unless you happen to live in Central America. Oops.

Before the end of spring, we will finally put this Monica Lewinsky thing behind us. The trial will not drag on for months, as the partisan Democrats proclaimed it surely would. They are nasty, dangerous, scare-mongerers, full of hot, polluted air. And no, the president will not be removed from office. And nothing else matters. A fine... a censure... none of that matters. The president will declare victory. We have decreed that this president is above the law and the norms of our society. He can get away with what no other man can, so long as the Dow stays above 8000 and interest rates stay below 10%. End of story. We boomers are setting the tone now; we run the show. "Make love, not impeachment." This is our legacy, and we should be ashamed. But like our boomer president, we are not; not the slightest.

Oh, Monica will make her appearance with Barbara Walters; we will all get to hear the sound of her voice. But nobody will care.

CBS correspondent and author Bill Geist ("The Big Five-Oh" - available in the BBHQ Library) notes that a baby boomer turns 50 every 7 1/2 seconds. If I have done my math correctly (Norm Levine and I were the best math students in sixth grade), 1999 will see over 4,200,000 boomers hitting the big five-oh. For Madison Avenue, I see a lot more ads for light beer and Pepto Bismol, and a whole lot fewer for surf boards and convertibles.

As I scanned across the audience at a recent Neil Diamond concert, it occurred to me that there should be an increasing demand for memberships to the Hair Club for Men. (But no, don't get ahead of me here; I will not be sending in my application.... not this year... not any year.) Not that Cy Sperling needs my help or advice, but if I were he, I'd work on product diversification. After all, what do you do once you sell the member... whatever it is he sells? What do you do then? My suggestion: combine the hairpiece with a hearing aid. It's a natural fit: the over-the-ears, Beatle look, with a hearing component to provide a comfortable, unobtrusive, functional auditory enhancement to millions of follically challenged boomers.

Kinda' of scary, isn't it?

But if I had money to invest in 1999, I'd pass on Intel and Microsoft; I put my money on the Hair Club for Men. You're not only a member; you're a shareholder, too.

And while you have your checkbook out, buy some sparking wine... champagne. 362 days before we need it, I am predicting a dramatic shortage of champagne next December. Remember who warned you. You're welcome.

On the political front, Al Gore and George Bush will remain the presidential frontrunners throughout the year. Mr. No-controlling-legal-authority, Technology-man will get a lot of competition. Bill Bradley, Paul Wellstone, John Kerry, and Dick Gephardt will also test the waters. On the Republican side, Senator John McCain, Dan Quayle, Lamar Alexander, Steve Forbes, and some fresh faces will all challenge George Junior. (I think Ross Perot's time is over. He had a lot more than 15 minutes, because he has a lot more money. Nonetheless, his time has passed.) But I'm sticking with what I predicted last summer: the big news will be the VP choices. Both parties will have a woman on the ticket in 2000.

Steve Fossett and dare-devil Richard Branson will once again try to fly around the world in a hot air balloon. It amazed me when I heard some people say that it is too difficult... it will never be done. Are they nuts? Do they have any understanding of what the 20th century is all about? Apparently not. Not only will it be done; it will be done in 1999.

So with my bottle of champagne in one hand and my hat in the other, I look forward to 1999! After all, there are a whole lot of things much worse than turning 50.

Just ask Jean Dixon...




If you have something to say of interest to boomers, write it as well as you can in 700-900 words, and send it to us. We can't guarantee we'll publish it, but we'll surely consider it.


The Boomer Essays - On Being a Boomer:

Personal Stories of the Chicowitz:
    Exploring My Roots: A Chicowitz History
    A Trip to the Dentist
    The Chicowitz Gets Dumped - Again!
    Just Shoot Me!
    He Sleeps with the Fishes
    My Little Girl, Princess
    Why am I Still Single?
    The Plastic Surgery Saga
    Our House is a Very, Very, Very Fine House... Not!
    Our House - Part 2
    Our House - Part 3: Reclaiming the Past
    Middle Age and the Mazdamobile
    Down for the Count
    That Dirty Dancing
    Contemplations on the Hereafter
    Tool Time with the Chicowitz
    The Chicowitz Goes Country
    Born to be Screwed
    Mr. Brownthumb
    The Mixer - A Singles Story
    Crab Cakes

Midlife Crisis:
    The Defining Moment
    The Saga Continues
    Fighting Back
    The Straight Scoop

In December, Traditions of Christmas:
    1997: The Christmas Tree
    1998: Remembrance.... and Friends
    1999: Christmas Cards
    2001: Songs & Stories
    2002: The Gift of Giving
    2003: Decorating the Tree
    2004: The Christmas Pin
    2005: The Making of the Christmas Card
    2006: Christmas on a Toothpick
    2007: The Paper Route Years
    Merry Christmas, Y'all
    Hershel's Wish List: 2004
    The "A" List

Teach, Preach & Nag:
    Courage and Class: Tony Snow
    The New American Dream
    A Grateful Heart
    Things We'll Learn
    The Death of a Friend
    The Age of Non-Responsibility
    "Thank You": Another Dying Phrase
    The Saturday Night Live "Curse"
    The Boomers, the Xers and Beyond
    Rules, Boundaries and Consequences
    It's for the Children
    "American Beauty" - an American Nightmare
    Of Values and Legacies
    School Violence: Lessons from the Past
    The Boomer Lyrics are with Us Everywhere
    Everybody's Got a Story
    Power to the Boomers
    My Kingdom for a Plain Burger
    Perception is Reality?
    Oh Woe is Us!
    It's Soooooo Hard
    Take Care of Yourself
    Public Service
    The Universal Apology
    The Leader of the Band

Travels with Princess:
    A Camping We Will Go
    A Camping We Did Go
    Travels with Princess - Part 1
    Travels with Princess - Part 2
    Me and You and a Dog Named Princess
    Savannah: Midnight in the Garden
    Time to Think
    On Top of Old Smoky
    The Fall Leaves and Such

A View from Hurricane Alley:
    The Big Scare
    Before the Storm
    After the Storm
Katrina:
    Intemperate Thoughts
    Information Misload
    Wet Dream

Election 2004:
    JF Kerry: Just the Facts
    A Discussion of the Issues
    The Election 2004 Quiz
    Find a Bush Lie -- Collect $5,000
    Talking Dirty in Washington
    I Believe - The George W. Bush Edition
    Inside John Kerry
    Why Character Matters - Part Umpteen
    Reporting for Duty
    Is it Safe Yet?
    Why We/They Hate Bush
    Ronald Reagan: Hard-Wired Decency
    What I Am
    Nov. 8: Post-Mortem

Election 2006:
    I Believe -- the Election 2006 Edition
    A Civil Debate

A Boomer Remembers...:
    The 60s: Life was Sweeter
    The New American Dream
    Another Side of the Greatest Generation
    Where has all the Music Gone?
    Memories of the Sock Hop
    Remembering the Chairman of the Board
    Restless in Seattle
    The New Math
    We Are Not One Boomer
    "And Here's to You, Joe DiMaggio"
    The Days of Summers Past
    The Seeds of Character
    A Letter to a Teacher
    I Want a Clark Bar!
    When Music was Fun
    Decoration Day - The Measure of Sacrifice
    11/22/63: We Remember
    Flashback: The Y2K Hysteria
    When the Music had Words
    Ronald Reagan: Hard-Wired Decency
    The Great Carsoni
    Love Songs of the Chicowitz
    Do You Remember These?
    V-A-C-A-T-I-O-N -- We're on Vacation!
    A Watergate Success Story

Straight Talk on Social Issues:
    Money 101: Incentive
    Health Care: Solutions
    Dr. Jack - A Man for Our Times
    Misplaced Outrage: The Imus Affair
    Global Warming Warning
    Sin Offsets
    Immigration: Good Fences
    July, 2006: The Price of Freedom
    Oh, Woe is Babs!
    "Fair and Balanced"?
    Lower Education
    Boomer Retirement: "Hell No, We Won't Go!"
    Social Security for Dummies
    Feelings over Facts
    Talking Down the Economy
    The Little Red Hen
    The Singles' Journal: Marriage
    The Shadow IRS
    The Dumbing Down of America
    The Next, Great Entitlement
    Voting Our way to Fairness
    Straight Talk on Energy
    We are Losing the Culture War
    A Taxpayers' Bill of Rights
    The Greedy Hand Extends its Reach
    My Kingdom for a Candidate
    Another Hat in the Toilet
    We Have Met the Enemy
    I'm From the Government & I'm Here to Help You
    B. Clinton: The Case Against the President
    B. Clinton: The Case For the President
    Charlton Heston: The Culture War
    Head Start: The Difference between Red and Blue
    Labor Day - The Entrepreneur
    It's Lonely at the Top
    Kids on Drugs
    Roe v. Wade Reality
    Stem Cell 101
    Vietnam: From a Distance
    Iraq: Another Vietnam - ?

Mostly, Just Silly Stuff:
    Sin Offsets
    Menopause: Just for Laughs
    The Fat Tax
    Cell Phones & Other Crimes & Misdemeanors
    Like Father, Like Son
    Where Have You Gone, Walter Cronkite?
    A Dire Warning to all Boomers
    An Aging Boomer's Final Call to Action
    BoomerSpeak
    "American Pie": a Fresh Interpretation
    Hail to Thee, My Alma Mater
    Rock On!
    The BBHQ Exam Story
    Great Quotations
    The $2.5 Million Pyramid
    I Double-Dare You!

The Terrorist Attack of 2001:
    The Best of Times
    Showing Your Patriotism
    "All We are Saaaaaaaa-ying..."
    2004: Is it Safe Yet?

The Chicowitz on Iraq:
    Politics for Dummies - Part I
    Peace in Our Time
    Yankee Go Home!
    Bullhorn Responsibility
    Blood for Oil!
    Why We Fight
    They Said - Part 1
    They Said - Part 2
    Why They're Wrong

** There's even more: The BBHQ Archives **

The BBHQ Album of the Month is "Old Friends Live on Stage (Deluxe Edition) (2 CD/1 DVD)," by Simon & Garfunkel. If you were fortunate enough to see them in concert last year, I do not have to sell you. The concert was terrific! This album collection includes 55 songs, plus their new recording, "Citizen of the Planet," and one of the songs sung by the Everly Brothers during the concert. The DVD was recorded during their concert in Madison Square Garden in 2003. For any S&G fan, this is a must have! But then, you knew that already, didn't you?  Old Friends Live on Stage (Deluxe Edition) (2 CD/1 DVD)

The BBHQ Book of the Month is "Vinyl Highway," by Dee Dee Phelps. You remember her as Dee Dee, of Dick and Dee Dee. Together, they took a decade long ride on the rock and roll roller coaster. It was a heck of a ride! Dick Clark, Quincy Jones, the Beach Boys, Glenn Campbell, Dionne Warwick, Bobby Vinton... Dick and Dee Dee rubbed shoulders with all of them. This is her "behind the scenes" story. It's pretty cool.

Click here for more information, or here to visit the BBHQ Library.

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rev. 01/03/99